Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 2.502774 2.662527 2.831883 3.025581 3.241979 3.477459 3.754672
2026-01-04 2.203766 2.415140 2.650730 2.935460 3.273985 3.668529 4.170735
2026-01-11 2.056615 2.298416 2.577117 2.927093 3.362311 3.896501 4.620028
2026-01-18 1.976518 2.245454 2.564395 2.978509 3.514733 4.205475 5.199520
2026-01-25 2.060167 2.390344 2.796721 3.348530 4.104277 5.148303 6.796786
2026-02-01 1.918031 2.243680 2.650356 3.212577 4.000605 5.122237 6.968477
2026-02-08 1.786310 2.102101 2.500703 3.059163 3.855686 5.015719 6.988831
2026-02-15 1.714015 2.032409 2.439833 3.020597 3.868113 5.140878 7.405621
2026-02-22 1.637518 1.953102 2.361229 2.950920 3.827256 5.176434 7.669189
2026-03-01 1.558647 1.867099 2.269151 2.855982 3.740167 5.127713 7.768470
2026-03-08 1.476543 1.773712 2.163043 2.735081 3.604833 4.987224 7.671540
2026-03-15 1.442848 1.743540 2.141778 2.735240 3.655418 5.159307 8.213894
2026-03-22 1.396677 1.699472 2.105631 2.721153 3.698337 5.351185 8.906699
2026-03-29 1.332673 1.629271 2.030602 2.645928 3.639133 5.360945 9.226052
2026-04-05 1.295516 1.593912 2.002451 2.638826 3.689778 5.575946 10.081832
2026-04-12 1.276475 1.582460 2.007370 2.682171 3.828727 5.979591 11.565771
2026-04-19 1.331655 1.677434 2.172270 2.991795 4.475803 7.565621 17.549952
2026-04-26 1.271440 1.604462 2.082670 2.878495 4.330467 7.392588 17.581640
2026-05-03 1.210772 1.529055 1.986755 2.750002 4.146973 7.109211 17.091374
2026-05-10 1.177826 1.492899 1.949152 2.717592 4.146222 7.258821 18.447183
2026-05-17 1.140337 1.448900 1.897804 2.658924 4.088979 7.263230 19.211292
2026-05-24 1.099562 1.398956 1.835634 2.578751 3.983191 7.133266 19.308434
2026-05-31 1.055189 1.342696 1.762153 2.476252 3.826717 6.859209 18.614457